Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.239588 0.271384 0.305282 0.344052 0.387105 0.433386 0.486839
2025-09-14 0.195050 0.237390 0.285363 0.343531 0.411925 0.489556 0.584095
2025-09-21 0.163664 0.212076 0.269894 0.343581 0.434489 0.542435 0.679721
2025-09-28 0.140134 0.192150 0.257271 0.344003 0.455594 0.593357 0.775184
2025-10-05 0.123649 0.178454 0.250040 0.349192 0.481562 0.650615 0.880993
2025-10-12 0.111866 0.169165 0.246939 0.358516 0.512444 0.714984 0.998820
2025-10-19 0.100238 0.158464 0.240418 0.361926 0.534740 0.768469 1.104493
2025-10-26 0.091623 0.150934 0.237256 0.369154 0.562000 0.829358 1.222618
2025-11-02 0.085237 0.145896 0.236954 0.379986 0.594442 0.898494 1.355023
2025-11-09 0.076620 0.136352 0.228872 0.378286 0.608002 0.940995 1.451215
2025-11-16 0.069269 0.127980 0.221686 0.377060 0.621669 0.983711 1.549040
2025-11-23 0.062820 0.120365 0.214909 0.375688 0.634584 1.025406 1.646655
2025-11-30 0.058459 0.116077 0.213452 0.383153 0.662420 1.092030 1.786647
2025-12-07 0.053235 0.109674 0.207864 0.383321 0.678498 1.141319 1.902524
2025-12-14 0.048637 0.103885 0.202764 0.383785 0.694857 1.191582 2.021957
2025-12-21 0.044569 0.098626 0.198080 0.384476 0.711398 1.242637 2.144606
2025-12-28 0.041643 0.095258 0.196468 0.390325 0.736794 1.308892 2.294104
2026-01-04 0.039572 0.093372 0.197392 0.400682 0.770367 1.389835 2.470532
2026-01-11 0.036869 0.089858 0.194892 0.404483 0.792484 1.452504 2.619275
2026-01-18 0.034884 0.087646 0.194694 0.412477 0.822356 1.529329 2.794371
2026-01-25 0.033474 0.086535 0.196554 0.424435 0.859909 1.620678 2.997231
2026-02-01 0.030775 0.082202 0.191505 0.422567 0.871791 1.667935 3.126611
2026-02-08 0.028374 0.078268 0.186921 0.421219 0.884414 1.716792 3.260322